Tuesday · USD · HIGH

US Consumer Price Index

Inflation remains the cleanest catalyst for repricing Fed expectations. A hotter print favors USD strength and pressure on gold; a softer print supports risk appetite and dollar weakness.

AI pre-release briefing

Inflation remains the cleanest catalyst for repricing Fed expectations. A hotter print favors USD strength and pressure on gold; a softer print supports risk appetite and dollar weakness.

  • Hot CPI: USD bid, yields higher, XAU/USD vulnerable, EUR/USD offered.
  • Inline CPI: First spike can fade. Watch revisions and core components.
  • Soft CPI: Dollar weakness, gold bid, carry pairs may stabilize.

Historical reaction map

Placeholder model for 5m, 15m and 60m post-release move windows.

EUR/USD

Track impulse, fade probability and continuation risk after the release.

XAU/USD

Track impulse, fade probability and continuation risk after the release.

USD/JPY

Track impulse, fade probability and continuation risk after the release.